Goldman Sachs slashed its recession forecast not long after raising the chance of a downturn. The bank walked back its forecasts Wednesday an hour after Trump paused most of his tariffs. The bank now ...

The next downturn is no longer a distant abstraction. Economic gauges are flashing warning colors, corporate layoff announcements are piling up, and the safety nets that cushioned the last crisis look ...

Imagine you are sailing a ship through dense fog, looking out for land. Your lookout spots species of birds typically found offshore. It now seems likely that you are approaching land, but it is ...

The Bay Area's tremendous six-year economic boom is winding down and the region will almost certainly slip into a recession within the next 12 months, according to a widely watched forecast issued ...

Goldman Sachs on Thursday trimmed its U.S. recession probability to 30% from 35% for the next twelve months on easing uncertainty around President Donald Trump's tariff policies after the U.S. and ...

Goldman Sachs reversed its recession forecast just moments after President Donald Trump announced a 90-day pause on his “Liberation Day” tariffs. The investment giant had raised its recession outlook ...

As fears of a recession grow, Connecticut’s finances enjoy unprecedented protection, with one new forecast from Gov. Ned Lamont’s administration projecting a moderate downturn wouldn’t even drain the ...

HONOLULU (Island News) -- Findings from the University of Hawaiʻi Economic Research Organization (UHERO) second quarter forecast for 2025 revealed that the stark federal policy changes threaten the ...

Getting your Trinity Audio player ready... Colorado faces a heightened recession risk heading into 2026, state economists said Friday, as recent data — still murky due to the recent federal government ...

An inverted rate yield curve – that is, a long-term interest rate that falls to or below the short-term interest rate – seems to have a track record of predicting recessions. The question of leading ...